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Lock of the Century: NBA Finals Game 1

May 31, 2011 Leave a comment

Dallas Mavericks +4.5 @ Miami Heat -4.5

Dallas Mavericks +170 @ Miami Heat -200

This game and this series is another example of my gift being my curse.  I hate Miami.  I want them to lose.  However, there is no way Dallas can win this series.  They don’t play good enough defense to stop Miami’s Big 3.  I think Dwayne Wade in particular will have a great series.  I am sure Dallas will try and run several different players at him, but he presents huge match up problems for all of Dallas’ guards.  Give me Miami -4.5.  The money line isn’t all that attractive at -200, but a win is a win is a win.

For the first time in the history of Locks of the Century I am bringing out prop bet picks.  NBA season is almost over, but my quest to take down Costa Rica has only just begun.  There are two prop bets that are low hanging fruit. 

Total 3pointers made in the game is at 13.5.  Dallas loves to jack up threes and they have several players that shoot a high percentage.  Miami will also be able to use their small lineup a lot in this series which means more minutes and touches for James Jones who is an ace from the outside.  I am taking the over.  I’d like this bet at 15. 

The other prop bet is a total assists+rebounds for Lebron James and the line is 14.  Umm…yes please! Lebron James is on another planet right now.  Scottie Pippen thinks he is better than Michael Jordan.  Lebron will be counted on to get more rebounds in this series because Miami will most likely use their small lineup often in this series.  He is also the best passing forward in the league today, and probably the second best ever behind Larry Bird.  Lebron James could approach this line of 14 by halftime. 

So there you have it, Citizens.  Four bets…four winners.  Dallas may not get swept, but Costa Rica sure will.  The entire country will be mine in no time.  Hey…how about one more just to prove a point…take the under on total points. 

follow me @windycitisports

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