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Lock of the Century: NBA Exact Series Pick

May 30, 2011 Leave a comment

Miami Heat-4 Dallas Mavericks-1 +700

Miami has won every single series in 5 games and I think that trend continues in the NBA Finals.  Of all the prices available, this seems like the best bet.  Dallas probably gets one game at home in a game where Dirk shoots the lights out, but that’s it.  Miami has the advantage at basically every position on the floor.  I hate making this pick on Memorial Day because it feels very un-American to have the Heat win the NBA championship, but I am here to pick winners.  The only thing less American than the Heat winning a title, is me losing my battle against Costa Rica. Sometimes, in war, you do things that you aren’t proud of…this is one of those moments.   Great run to the finals by Dallas, but unfortunately Miami and their fake fans will get to celebrate again.  Miami in 5 Games.

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Lock of the Century: NBA Edition

May 26, 2011 1 comment

Miami Heat +3 @ Chicago Bulls -3

Miami Heat +140 @ Chicago Bulls -160

I hate Miami as much as the next guy, but there is no way the Bulls win tonight.  The Bulls being favored makes no sense even with the home court advantage.  The Bulls don’t have the horses to beat Miami.  Derrick Rose has been shut down, Noah has rocks for hands, Boozer is getting out played by Bosh, and Korver couldn’t throw a three pointer into Lake Michigan. 

So why on earth are the Bulls favored?  If you know anything about the NBA, then you know the fix is in.  Bulls are going to be at the line all night.  Home-court and some extra possessions should be enough for the Bulls to stave off elimination.

Nice, try NBA and Costa Rica…you almost Jedi mind-tricked me into taking the Bulls by making me think you were trying to trick me into taking the Heat.  Better luck next time.  This isn’t my first rodeo. Take the Heat with the spread and the moneyline.  I don’t feel good about it, but the Heat are winning tonight.  2006 NBA finals rematch

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Lock of the Century: NBA Futures

May 25, 2011 Leave a comment

Miami winning it all -215

This is basically stealing, but all is fair in love and war…and I am at war with book makers of Costa Rica. 

Miami is without a doubt winning the championship.  Odds are that they would have a rematch with Dallas.  Dallas is a fun team to watch, but they do not matchup favorably with the Miami Heat.  Miami loves to play small and Dallas will allow them to do just that. 

Going small gives Miami a huge edge even though that has traditionally been Dallas’s strength. I think Lebron will end up locking down Dirk.  Lebron is so strong and athletic that he will be able to push Dirk off of his spots.  His leaping ability and explosiveness will allow him to contest all of Dirk’s jumpers. 

Dwayne Wade will explode in this series.  Miami simply doesn’t have a guy who can match up with him. Jason Terry is a liability, Kidd isn’t the on-ball defender he was a decade ago when he played in the NBA Finals for the Nets, and DeShawn Stevenson just flat-out sucks. Who wears number 92?  That’s just annoying. 

Heat win this series in 5, no more than 6 games.  Dirk may just steal one game, but over the course of the series his legs will wear out as Lebron will force him to work for every shot.  It’s not a very attractive line at -225, but a win is a win is a win.

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