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Lock of the Century: NBA Finals Game 2

June 2, 2011 2 comments

Dallas +180 @ Miami -220

Dallas +4.5 @ Miami -4.5

Costa Rica is in shambles after I demolished them in Game 1. Going 4-0-1 in various bets.  They are so scared that they haven’t even posted prop bets for this one knowing full well that I will rob them blind again.  Game 2 will play out just like Game 1 did. Relatively close for 80% of the game, and then Miami’s talent will just take over in the 4th.  Miami will not only win, but they will also cover the spread.  Dallas just doesn’t have the horses to win a game on the road.

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My future First Lady of Costa Rica

So…I guess I am a prodigy

June 1, 2011 2 comments

I am not going sit here and tell everyone that I am some kind of sports gambling genius…but that’s what I am.  Picking winners, beating the odds, and taking down Costa Rica is just a talent that I have inately.  I got a text from a friend asking me to explain to him how I pick winners.  I didn’t know what to say.  I feel like that’s saying to Rembrandt “teach me to paint like you”.

Yesterday I gave the people 5 “Locks of the Century” in the Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks, and in Game 1 of the NBA Finals I gave the people 5 winners(well 4-0-1, but still undefeated).  Is this what Tiger felt like in 2000? When do the women start throwing themselves at me?  Sportsbooks of Costa Rica…you’ve been warned.  I am coming for you all.

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Lock of the Century: NBA Finals Game 1

May 31, 2011 Leave a comment

Dallas Mavericks +4.5 @ Miami Heat -4.5

Dallas Mavericks +170 @ Miami Heat -200

This game and this series is another example of my gift being my curse.  I hate Miami.  I want them to lose.  However, there is no way Dallas can win this series.  They don’t play good enough defense to stop Miami’s Big 3.  I think Dwayne Wade in particular will have a great series.  I am sure Dallas will try and run several different players at him, but he presents huge match up problems for all of Dallas’ guards.  Give me Miami -4.5.  The money line isn’t all that attractive at -200, but a win is a win is a win.

For the first time in the history of Locks of the Century I am bringing out prop bet picks.  NBA season is almost over, but my quest to take down Costa Rica has only just begun.  There are two prop bets that are low hanging fruit. 

Total 3pointers made in the game is at 13.5.  Dallas loves to jack up threes and they have several players that shoot a high percentage.  Miami will also be able to use their small lineup a lot in this series which means more minutes and touches for James Jones who is an ace from the outside.  I am taking the over.  I’d like this bet at 15. 

The other prop bet is a total assists+rebounds for Lebron James and the line is 14.  Umm…yes please! Lebron James is on another planet right now.  Scottie Pippen thinks he is better than Michael Jordan.  Lebron will be counted on to get more rebounds in this series because Miami will most likely use their small lineup often in this series.  He is also the best passing forward in the league today, and probably the second best ever behind Larry Bird.  Lebron James could approach this line of 14 by halftime. 

So there you have it, Citizens.  Four bets…four winners.  Dallas may not get swept, but Costa Rica sure will.  The entire country will be mine in no time.  Hey…how about one more just to prove a point…take the under on total points. 

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Lock of the Century: NBA Exact Series Pick

May 30, 2011 Leave a comment

Miami Heat-4 Dallas Mavericks-1 +700

Miami has won every single series in 5 games and I think that trend continues in the NBA Finals.  Of all the prices available, this seems like the best bet.  Dallas probably gets one game at home in a game where Dirk shoots the lights out, but that’s it.  Miami has the advantage at basically every position on the floor.  I hate making this pick on Memorial Day because it feels very un-American to have the Heat win the NBA championship, but I am here to pick winners.  The only thing less American than the Heat winning a title, is me losing my battle against Costa Rica. Sometimes, in war, you do things that you aren’t proud of…this is one of those moments.   Great run to the finals by Dallas, but unfortunately Miami and their fake fans will get to celebrate again.  Miami in 5 Games.

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Lock of the Century: NBA Edition

May 26, 2011 1 comment

Miami Heat +3 @ Chicago Bulls -3

Miami Heat +140 @ Chicago Bulls -160

I hate Miami as much as the next guy, but there is no way the Bulls win tonight.  The Bulls being favored makes no sense even with the home court advantage.  The Bulls don’t have the horses to beat Miami.  Derrick Rose has been shut down, Noah has rocks for hands, Boozer is getting out played by Bosh, and Korver couldn’t throw a three pointer into Lake Michigan. 

So why on earth are the Bulls favored?  If you know anything about the NBA, then you know the fix is in.  Bulls are going to be at the line all night.  Home-court and some extra possessions should be enough for the Bulls to stave off elimination.

Nice, try NBA and Costa Rica…you almost Jedi mind-tricked me into taking the Bulls by making me think you were trying to trick me into taking the Heat.  Better luck next time.  This isn’t my first rodeo. Take the Heat with the spread and the moneyline.  I don’t feel good about it, but the Heat are winning tonight.  2006 NBA finals rematch

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Lock of the Century: NBA Futures

May 25, 2011 Leave a comment

Miami winning it all -215

This is basically stealing, but all is fair in love and war…and I am at war with book makers of Costa Rica. 

Miami is without a doubt winning the championship.  Odds are that they would have a rematch with Dallas.  Dallas is a fun team to watch, but they do not matchup favorably with the Miami Heat.  Miami loves to play small and Dallas will allow them to do just that. 

Going small gives Miami a huge edge even though that has traditionally been Dallas’s strength. I think Lebron will end up locking down Dirk.  Lebron is so strong and athletic that he will be able to push Dirk off of his spots.  His leaping ability and explosiveness will allow him to contest all of Dirk’s jumpers. 

Dwayne Wade will explode in this series.  Miami simply doesn’t have a guy who can match up with him. Jason Terry is a liability, Kidd isn’t the on-ball defender he was a decade ago when he played in the NBA Finals for the Nets, and DeShawn Stevenson just flat-out sucks. Who wears number 92?  That’s just annoying. 

Heat win this series in 5, no more than 6 games.  Dirk may just steal one game, but over the course of the series his legs will wear out as Lebron will force him to work for every shot.  It’s not a very attractive line at -225, but a win is a win is a win.

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