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Lock of the Century: NBA Finals Game 5 Edition

June 9, 2011 2 comments

Miami Heat +1 @ Dallas Mavericks -1

I’ll be the first to admit that my NBA Finals Locks of the Century haven’t been the greatest. Costa Rica is kicking my ass in this battle.  Taking Miami in every game has burned me.  Miami is really underachieving, Lebron in particular.  All of these losses are making me feel like the Gambling Gods are trying to punish me by picking and therefore, rooting(kind of) for the Heat.  Well jokes on you Gambling Gods. I’d gladly lose money everyday if it meant that the Heat would be denied a Championship.  So, having said that…give me the Heat.  Lebron is not going to be held to 8 points again.  He has been out-scored by the Boston Bruins 12-8 in the last three days.  No way that trend continues.  Even with Lebron struggling, the Heat have still been in every game.  I think Lebron takes over today and has a huge game.  Proving that he is more fueled by what other people say about him than by winning championships.  He really needs extra motivation?  Jordan would have dominated the Mavs in an empty gym in Siberia because all he cared about was winning.  Lebron takes games off in the middle of the NBA Finals.  Thats the only argument I need.

Over/Under Total Points 184

Every game has been in the 80s and I don’t anticipate that changing now.  The games have been slow, not a ton of possessions and both teams have been bringing in on the defensive end of the court.  88-84 Heat win tonight.  Taking the Heat on the moneyline at -105, Heat against the spread, and the under…which of course means the Mavs probably win a shootout, and I wouldn’t mind a bit.

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Lock of the Century: NBA Edition

May 26, 2011 1 comment

Miami Heat +3 @ Chicago Bulls -3

Miami Heat +140 @ Chicago Bulls -160

I hate Miami as much as the next guy, but there is no way the Bulls win tonight.  The Bulls being favored makes no sense even with the home court advantage.  The Bulls don’t have the horses to beat Miami.  Derrick Rose has been shut down, Noah has rocks for hands, Boozer is getting out played by Bosh, and Korver couldn’t throw a three pointer into Lake Michigan. 

So why on earth are the Bulls favored?  If you know anything about the NBA, then you know the fix is in.  Bulls are going to be at the line all night.  Home-court and some extra possessions should be enough for the Bulls to stave off elimination.

Nice, try NBA and Costa Rica…you almost Jedi mind-tricked me into taking the Bulls by making me think you were trying to trick me into taking the Heat.  Better luck next time.  This isn’t my first rodeo. Take the Heat with the spread and the moneyline.  I don’t feel good about it, but the Heat are winning tonight.  2006 NBA finals rematch

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Lock of the Century: NBA Futures

May 25, 2011 Leave a comment

Miami winning it all -215

This is basically stealing, but all is fair in love and war…and I am at war with book makers of Costa Rica. 

Miami is without a doubt winning the championship.  Odds are that they would have a rematch with Dallas.  Dallas is a fun team to watch, but they do not matchup favorably with the Miami Heat.  Miami loves to play small and Dallas will allow them to do just that. 

Going small gives Miami a huge edge even though that has traditionally been Dallas’s strength. I think Lebron will end up locking down Dirk.  Lebron is so strong and athletic that he will be able to push Dirk off of his spots.  His leaping ability and explosiveness will allow him to contest all of Dirk’s jumpers. 

Dwayne Wade will explode in this series.  Miami simply doesn’t have a guy who can match up with him. Jason Terry is a liability, Kidd isn’t the on-ball defender he was a decade ago when he played in the NBA Finals for the Nets, and DeShawn Stevenson just flat-out sucks. Who wears number 92?  That’s just annoying. 

Heat win this series in 5, no more than 6 games.  Dirk may just steal one game, but over the course of the series his legs will wear out as Lebron will force him to work for every shot.  It’s not a very attractive line at -225, but a win is a win is a win.

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