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Jinxes, Curses, and Karma when Betting: Locks of the Century

June 3, 2011 Leave a comment

I have nobody to blame but myself for Miami’s epic collapse last night.  I got cocky and via twitter basically proclaimed that nobody could stop me from winning.  I was staring a 5-1 maybe 6-0 record in the face mid-way through the 4th quarter.  The first rule of gambling is don’t taunt the gambling gods.  I had already nailed 3 of my 6 bets, and was looking like a prophet again.  Within in 5 minutes Dallas shooting, Lebron fade-away threes, and Eric Spoelstra coaching stole 3 wins from me.  That’s what I get.  Next time I’ll just gloat when the fat lady has sung.  Sorry America. 

Still went 3-3 for the game, not too shabby.  Live to fight another day.

Lock of the Century: NBA Finals Game 2 Prop Bets

June 2, 2011 Leave a comment

Well well well…looks like all I had to do was call the sportsbooks out and they publish their prop bets for Game 2 of the NBA Finals.  Big mistake, huge.  I am going to just tear into them again.  I already have the Miami Heat on the moneyline and I also have them covering the 4.5 point spread. Prop bets are low hanging fruit.  There are two ways to stop Costa Rica sportsbooks; the Eric Holder way or my way.  My way gets you paid.

3-point prop bet trifecta

I love all three of these 3 point shots made lines.  This is just stealing.  Both teams will employ their small lineup, both teams love the three, and they crushed this line in Game 1.  The line for Miami’s made 3pointers is laughable.  Lebron James was 4 of 5 by himself in the last game.  Dallas is playing zone the majority of the time to try to take away dribble penetration.  Miami will be shooting more three pointers than normal.  Eight isn’t nearly enough for Dallas either.  Give me all three of these.

Dirk Nowitzki Total Assists+Rebounds over/under 10.5

Dallas had better pray Dirk doesn’t come under this line.  If he does he is probably sick or dead or severely injured.  Dirk is becoming a better passer and Dallas has got to be preaching to each other to get aggressive on the glass after Miami controlled rebounding in Game 1.  Dirk is the leader of the team, and as the power-forward will be counted on to get more rebounds.  I also think that Dirk’s finger injury probably helps with this line. If he is limited offensively he will look to get others involved and contribute in other ways.

So that’s 6 total sports gambling Locks of the Century for Game 2 of the NBA Finals.  Miami on the moneyline, Miami on the spread, total threes over 14, Mavs 3s over 8, Heat 3s over 5.5, and Dirk Nowitzki to be over 10.5 combined rebounds+assists.  That’s some easy money.  Enjoy the game…GET THAT PAPER.  STRAIGHT CASH HOMIE

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Lock of the Century: NBA Finals Game 2

June 2, 2011 2 comments

Dallas +180 @ Miami -220

Dallas +4.5 @ Miami -4.5

Costa Rica is in shambles after I demolished them in Game 1. Going 4-0-1 in various bets.  They are so scared that they haven’t even posted prop bets for this one knowing full well that I will rob them blind again.  Game 2 will play out just like Game 1 did. Relatively close for 80% of the game, and then Miami’s talent will just take over in the 4th.  Miami will not only win, but they will also cover the spread.  Dallas just doesn’t have the horses to win a game on the road.

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My future First Lady of Costa Rica

Lock of the Century: NBA Finals Game 1

May 31, 2011 Leave a comment

Dallas Mavericks +4.5 @ Miami Heat -4.5

Dallas Mavericks +170 @ Miami Heat -200

This game and this series is another example of my gift being my curse.  I hate Miami.  I want them to lose.  However, there is no way Dallas can win this series.  They don’t play good enough defense to stop Miami’s Big 3.  I think Dwayne Wade in particular will have a great series.  I am sure Dallas will try and run several different players at him, but he presents huge match up problems for all of Dallas’ guards.  Give me Miami -4.5.  The money line isn’t all that attractive at -200, but a win is a win is a win.

For the first time in the history of Locks of the Century I am bringing out prop bet picks.  NBA season is almost over, but my quest to take down Costa Rica has only just begun.  There are two prop bets that are low hanging fruit. 

Total 3pointers made in the game is at 13.5.  Dallas loves to jack up threes and they have several players that shoot a high percentage.  Miami will also be able to use their small lineup a lot in this series which means more minutes and touches for James Jones who is an ace from the outside.  I am taking the over.  I’d like this bet at 15. 

The other prop bet is a total assists+rebounds for Lebron James and the line is 14.  Umm…yes please! Lebron James is on another planet right now.  Scottie Pippen thinks he is better than Michael Jordan.  Lebron will be counted on to get more rebounds in this series because Miami will most likely use their small lineup often in this series.  He is also the best passing forward in the league today, and probably the second best ever behind Larry Bird.  Lebron James could approach this line of 14 by halftime. 

So there you have it, Citizens.  Four bets…four winners.  Dallas may not get swept, but Costa Rica sure will.  The entire country will be mine in no time.  Hey…how about one more just to prove a point…take the under on total points. 

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Lock of the Century: NBA Exact Series Pick

May 30, 2011 Leave a comment

Miami Heat-4 Dallas Mavericks-1 +700

Miami has won every single series in 5 games and I think that trend continues in the NBA Finals.  Of all the prices available, this seems like the best bet.  Dallas probably gets one game at home in a game where Dirk shoots the lights out, but that’s it.  Miami has the advantage at basically every position on the floor.  I hate making this pick on Memorial Day because it feels very un-American to have the Heat win the NBA championship, but I am here to pick winners.  The only thing less American than the Heat winning a title, is me losing my battle against Costa Rica. Sometimes, in war, you do things that you aren’t proud of…this is one of those moments.   Great run to the finals by Dallas, but unfortunately Miami and their fake fans will get to celebrate again.  Miami in 5 Games.

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Lock of the Century: NBA Edition

May 26, 2011 1 comment

Miami Heat +3 @ Chicago Bulls -3

Miami Heat +140 @ Chicago Bulls -160

I hate Miami as much as the next guy, but there is no way the Bulls win tonight.  The Bulls being favored makes no sense even with the home court advantage.  The Bulls don’t have the horses to beat Miami.  Derrick Rose has been shut down, Noah has rocks for hands, Boozer is getting out played by Bosh, and Korver couldn’t throw a three pointer into Lake Michigan. 

So why on earth are the Bulls favored?  If you know anything about the NBA, then you know the fix is in.  Bulls are going to be at the line all night.  Home-court and some extra possessions should be enough for the Bulls to stave off elimination.

Nice, try NBA and Costa Rica…you almost Jedi mind-tricked me into taking the Bulls by making me think you were trying to trick me into taking the Heat.  Better luck next time.  This isn’t my first rodeo. Take the Heat with the spread and the moneyline.  I don’t feel good about it, but the Heat are winning tonight.  2006 NBA finals rematch

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